As for the Bank's future conduct of monetary policy, a different member commented that it should also consider the issue of increasing the outstanding balance of current accounts at the Bank in order to maintain the year-on-year growth rate of the monetary base.
A different member added that the ratio of job offers to applicants with specialized skills was increasing, as was the proportion of high school and college students who had received job offers, and the pace of increase in the proportion of part-time workers was slowing.
In contrast to the above view, a different member stated that firms had managed to make a profit by reducing costs through restructuring and a self-sustained recovery in private demand would be required for a full-fledged recovery in corporate profits.
In relation to the fact that firm housing prices were supporting U.S. private consumption, a different member pointed out that there was a considerable time-lag before the collapse of a bubble economy became apparent in real estate prices as observed in the case of Japan.
A different member added that the importance of the deterioration in the diffusion index should not be underestimated, given the deterioration particularly in some materials industries and cautiousness in firms' estimates of sales and profits for fiscal 2005.
On the other hand, a different member commented that improvement in the employment and income situation had been much smaller than expected in October 2000 when the"Outlook and Risk Assessment of the Economy and Prices"(hereafter, Outlook Report) was released.
Another member pointed out that, with firms considerably vulnerable to shocks, reorganization of the banking industry could accelerate employment adjustment in firms. A different member stated that such adjustment might in turn bring about a deterioration in consumer confidence and in business sentiment toward fixed investment.
A different member expressed the view that, given the current situation where the economy was still at a pause and there was uncertainty about the momentum for economic recovery, the Bank should maintain the outstanding balance of current accounts within the current target range to underpin the recovery through monetary policy.
A different member said that the low and stable long-term interest rates worldwide also reflected the structural factor that institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, were becoming more active in investing in bonds against the background of various changes, for example, changes in accounting rules.
In response to this, a different member said that, if the high growth of real GDP was due partly to temporary factors and the downward bias of the GDP deflator, it was likely that the output gap might not have been contracting as much as the high growth of real GDP seemed to suggest.
A different member said that the risk premium on stocks in industrial countries had been at high levels in the past seven to eight years, and market prices seemed to have appropriately reflected uncertainties about the economic outlook.
A different member expressed the opinion that it would be difficult to indicate the Bank's conduct of monetary policy through fiscal 2006 in the Outlook Report because the economy was projected to recover only at a moderate pace and there was also a risk that economic activity might deviate below the projections.
Another member suggested that the environment for private consumption was not too dismal considering the easing of concern about a surplus in labor and growing hopes that some portion of postal savings that had matured would be used for consumption.
A different member said that, given the uncertainty of future developments in materials prices, it was becoming difficult for corporate management to project higher profits in the current situation where the ratio of current profits to sales was above the peak recorded during the bubble period.
A different member said that, as the Bank was strongly committed to overcoming deflation, it should further discuss ways to improve the transparency of the conduct of monetary policy from the viewpoint of enhancing its accountability with respect to how it would deal with deflation.
In relation to this, a different member said that the monetary base had already been provided to a sufficient level relative to nominal GDP through the Bank's monetary easing, and this had provided the foundation on which the money stock could rise if economic activity increased.
A different member expressed the view that although it was appropriate to maintain the current target range for the time being, carefully lowering it, while ensuring understanding outside the Bank that this would not hinder the process of overcoming deflation, would be one of the options in the future.
A different member said that as there were indicators showing a deterioration in consumer confidence, it was necessary for the time being to continue paying attention to factors such as the possibility of further downward pressure on the economy stemming from continued high crude oil prices.
A different member expressed the view that, by indicating a rate of inflation at which it was considered that Japan's economy would not fall into deflation again, the Bank could provide an anchor for economic agents' expectations regarding future developments in economic activity and prices and contribute to stable formation of expectations in financial markets.
In response to this, a different member said that at present, it would be enough to take a close look at the effects as one risk factor, given that private research institutes and international organizations had not recently revised their outlook for the world economy downward.
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