Given that the change of the current policy framework, as with the introduction of the quantitative easing policy, is unprecedented, it is essential to ensure that financial markets are able to perform pricing function smoothly, reflecting underlying conditions of the economy and prices.
Members concurred that, taken as a whole, developments in financial markets since the termination of the quantitative easing policy had been stable, and understanding of the Bank's thinking concerning the conduct of monetary policy had been gradually spreading among market participants.
In summary, the QE policy as a whole had a certain effect on economic activity, which is production here, and a transmission channel through asset prices-- namely, stock prices and the foreign exchange rate-- was working.
One member stressed that, for the effects of quantitative monetary easing measures to permeate throughout the economy, top priority should be given to encouraging recovery of the financial intermediary function of banks by accelerating the disposal of nonperforming loans NPLs.
With the economic recovery likely to remain highly sustainable and the year-on-year changes in the CPI expected to remain positive, the possibility of a departure from the unprecedented framework of the quantitative easing policy, which was introduced to stave off a deflationary spiral, is likely to increase over the course of fiscal 2006.
In relation to this, one member commented that the Bank should continue to explain clearly that termination of the quantitative easing policy would not imply an abrupt change in the economy so that this was fully understood not only by market participants but also the corporate sector and the public.
In pursuing QE, the Bank gradually increased its target for current account balances from initially about 5 trillion yen(about 1 percent of nominal GDP) to about 30 to 35 trillion yen(about 6 to 7 percent of nominal GDP) in January 2004 while consistently taking the economic situation into account.
Therefore, it is not certain whether the conditions in the Bank's commitment will be fulfilled and there will be occasion to change the present framework of the quantitative easing policy during the projection period covered in the April Outlook Report. However, assuming that our projections regarding prices in fact materialize, it is likely that this possibility will gradually increase over the course of fiscal 2006.
Given that financial institutions have managed liquidity against the backdrop of large amounts of current account balances and extensive funds-supplying operations by the Bank for a prolonged period since the adoption of the quantitative easing policy, the reduction in current account balance is expected to be carried out over a period of a few months, taking full account of conditions in the short-term money market.
The Bank's commitment to maintain the quantitative easing policy based on the consumer price index has allowed firms to continue to enjoy low funding costs even as the economy continues to recover. Positive effects on the economy, acting via interest rates, will strengthen as firms gradually become more confident about the economic outlook.
Against this majority view, one member said that it would be appropriate to lower the target range for the outstanding balance of current accounts at the Bank to"around 27 to 32 trillion yen" and at the same time maintain the current framework of quantitative easing policy aimed at overcoming deflation, giving reasons such as that liquidity demand among financial institutions was decreasing and the disadvantages of maintaining a huge outstanding balance of current accounts were becoming relatively significant.
The two pillars of the quantitative easing policy are: the Bank's provision of ample liquidity to the money market so that the outstanding balance of current accounts at the Bank substantially exceeds the amount of required reserves; and the Bank's commitment to continue with this ample provision of liquidity until the year-on-year rate of change in the consumer price index(excluding fresh food, on a nationwide basis) registers zero percent or higher on a sustainable basis.
After the introduction of the quantitative easing policy, there was no occurrence of any large-scale credit crunch, such as was observed in 1997 and 1998, and stability in financial markets was maintained despite the materialization of various shocks, including the terrorist attacks in the United States and the Iraq war as well as the injection of public funds into a major Japanese bank when the financial system was fragile.
Most members' view was that, based on the assessment of economic activity and prices described earlier, it could be judged that the condition laid out in the commitment-- the Bank would maintain the quantitative easing policy until the year-on-year change in the CPI(excluding fresh food, on a nationwide basis) registered zero percent or higher on a sustainable basis-- which was set when the policy was introduced in March 2001, was fulfilled.
However, in the periods of the quantitative easing policy(2001-06) and Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing(QQE; 2013-), holding excess reserves(an amount exceeding the legal reserve requirements) has become common for many financial institutions as a result of the ample provision of funds by the Bank, and it has become difficult for the reserve requirement system to be utilized as a measure to stabilize financial institutions' current account balances at the Bank.
いわゆる量的緩和政策です。
This is the so-called quantitative easing policy.
つは日銀の量的緩和政策です。
Another example is Japan's quantitative easing policy.
English
中文
عربى
Български
বাংলা
Český
Dansk
Deutsch
Ελληνικά
Español
Suomi
Français
עִברִית
हिंदी
Hrvatski
Magyar
Bahasa indonesia
Italiano
Қазақ
한국어
മലയാളം
मराठी
Bahasa malay
Nederlands
Norsk
Polski
Português
Română
Русский
Slovenský
Slovenski
Српски
Svenska
தமிழ்
తెలుగు
ไทย
Tagalog
Turkce
Українська
اردو
Tiếng việt